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Friday, August 26, 2016

AFC South Season Preview






Luck, Mariota, Osweiler and Bortles... four young bucks who think they have what it takes to lead their respective teams to the promise land. Let's start with the 'elder' and most experienced of the group... Mr. Andrew Luck.   

***Indianapolis Colts***

What I like:
  • Luck is the best QB in this league under 30 years of age. The only thing that guys like Palmer, Rivers, and Brady have on him is experience, and there is no substitute for it.  
  • Sadly Luck is the only thing I like about this organization.   
What I hate:
  • Coaching staff is full of weak personnel who mostly fizzled out as HC's and coordinators and have since been demoted .  
  • O-line is unacceptable.  
  • Secondary was OK before the Vontae Davis injury. Now they are counting on Cromartie as a starter... that's bad news.
  • Not a fan of Hilton or the other pass catchers. Dorsett was a guy I was so excited about in the 2015 draft. His rookie season was a complete bust.
  • The backfield is a joke. Gore is finished as a starter.
  • Their owner is a nut job. This guy stumbled into the #1 overall pick on the best draft years possible over the past 2 decades. He lands Manning and Luck back to back. And his team has a achieved a grand total of 1 Super Bowl win during this stretch. When the 49ers went from Montana directly to Young they tallied 5 rings if I am not mistaken.  
  • Luck can only pray that after this season there is a complete overhaul in this organization and they can start to surround him with some talent.
I predict 5-11 and those wins will be completely because of Luck's brilliance.

***Tennessee Titans***

What I like:
  • I predicted Mariota would be a complete bust on the pro level. SO FAR he has proven me wrong. So far.   
  • The coaching staff is very interesting. LeBeau, Grimm and a few of the other coaches who joined the team to work with former HC Wisenhunt decided to remain on staff to work with Mike Mularkey.  I am lost on why they didn't give Chip Kelly a shot to reunite with Mariota... but inside that organization Mularkey is respected. Good for them for not taking the bait and making a flashy move just for the sake of it.
  • Outstanding young O-line with lots of upside.   
  • Great mix of pass catchers. Some young up and comers and some savvy vets. Surprising that they bailed out on Green-Beckum so quickly.   
  • Deep, bruising backfield.
  • Solid, under the radar secondary.
What I hate:
  • LB's and D-line lack game changers. LeBeau has his work cut out for him.
  • Balanced team overall, but the sub par front 7 will hold them back from being a playoff team.      
I think they go 7-9 and I am worried that Mariota may have his 3rd different HC when he starts his 3rd year in the league. Not a formula for long-term success.  

***Houston Texans***

What I like:
  • Pretty amazing coaching staff.      
  • I am not a fan of their #1 pick WR Fuller because he is a one trick pony, but in this particular offense I think he may actually do well. Trading up one spot and passing on WR Doctson was a mistake IMHO. He was a much more complete player coming out of school.  
  • Love the value of rookie Center Nick Martin in the second round. O-line needed an infusion of young talent.    
  • @NukeDaBomb AKA Hopkins is a top 3 WR in this league today and he might be #1. The rest of the WR's are also a useful/ dynamic group.   
  • The backfield is solid. I like Miller and Blue as a duo.
  • Watt is a beast. D-line has depth.
  •  The LB corps could be epic if Clowney emerges this year.     
What I hate:
  • TE's are terrible.     
  • O-line is a work in progress.  
  • I think the whole Osweiler thing is a complex situation. I like the fact that he had the guts to walk away from the world champions and Elway's shadow to go try and blaze his own path. But, from what I understand the difference in the money offered by Houston was not a lot. So it comes off as Brock only being interested in money, and not winning. that is the part that I hate. It all boils down to winning. If both the Broncos and Texans make the playoff's this story is over. If The Texans struggle and Lynch excels in Denver Brock looks real bad. If Brock plays like a top 5 QB in 2016 and the Broncos miss the playoffs John Elway, for the first time ever, looks like he isn't a football God.       
I see them going 9-7 and a possible wildcard. 2017 will be their year, if they have made the right moves.     

***Jacksonville Jaguars***

Please take a moment to read my thorough analysis of this team from a previous post: 2016 Jaguars

I predict 10-6 and a division title. Bortles and Bradley need an appearance in the post season to be considered a legitimate program, and the time is NOW.  

-Jay Wagner

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